Faculty

Institution

Unit

Venue

Manfred Keil

Claremont McKenna College

Affiliations

Claremont McKenna College

Robert Day School of Economics and Finance

The Berger Institute for Individual and Social Development

The Keck Center for International and Strategic Studies

The Lowe Institute of Political Economy

The Randall Lewis Center for Innovation and Entrepreneurship

Department Of Government

Department Of Literature

NoneManfred Keil is currently serving as a Claremont Mckenna College faculty at Claremont Mckenna College.

Honors

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Manfred Keil

Claremont McKenna College

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economics macroeconomics unemployment economic analysis labor market impact public policy finance labour economics economic modelling wage inflation inflation economic growth economic research canadian studies labour supply labor market outcomes economic forecasting minimum wages aggregate model statistics international finance human capital economic policy vocational behavior economic literature social science research economic psychology economic behavior economic dynamics financial stability macroeconomic forecasting labor market participation growth theory regional economics macroeconomic models econometric models economic fluctuation business cycle analysis shock (economics) different economies financial openness u.s. states univariate regressions last year economic expansion demographic groups a panel capital mobility unemployment generosity term spreads economic expansions

Notable Scholarly Works

Notable Federal Grants

Collaborators

Using Term Spreads to Forecast the End of Economic Expansions in the U.S. SSRN Electronic Journal (2024)

Manfred W. KeilEdward E. LeamerYao Li

forecastingeconomic forecastingeconomicsterm spreadseconomic expansions

An Investigation Into the Probability That This is the Last Year of the Economic Expansion. Journal of Forecasting (2023)

Manfred KeilEdward LeamerYao Li

forecastingeconomic forecastingeconomic expansionmacroeconomicslast yearmacroeconomic forecastingstatistics

Measures of Financial Openness and Interdependence. Journal of Financial Economic Policy (2012)

William R. ClarkMark HallerbergManfred KeilThomas D. Willett

financefinancial opennessinternational finance

The 2009 Recession in the U.S.. SSRN Electronic Journal (2009)

financial crisisshock (economics)economicsfinanceeconomic analysiseconomic dynamicsunemploymentmacroeconomicsbusiness cycle analysiseconomic fluctuationbusiness cyclesfinancial stability

Univariate Regressions of Employment on Minimum Wages in the Panel of U.S. States. SSRN Electronic Journal (2009)

economic policylabor market impacteconometricseconomicspublic policylabour supplyeconomic analysiseconomic modellingunemploymenteconomic researchminimum wageslabor market outcomeslabour economicswage inflationu.s. statesunivariate regressions

When Does Inflation Hurt Economic Growth? Different Nonlinearities for Different Economies. Journal of Macroeconomics (2004)

Richard C.K. BurdekinArthur T. DenzauManfred W. KeilThitithep SitthiyotThomas D. Willett

economicseconomic growthmacroeconomicsinflationdifferent economies

Capital Mobility for Developing Countries May Not Be so High. Econstor (Econstor) (2003)

Thomas D. WillettM. KeilYoung Seok Ahn

social science researcheconomicsfinanceeconomic developmentcapital mobilitysocial sciencesdevelopment economics

Minimum Wages and Employment. London School of Economics and Political Science Research Online (London School of Economics and Political Science) (2001)

labor market impacteconomicslabour supplyeconomic analysisunemploymenthuman capitaleconomic researchminimum wageslabour economicswage inflationvocational behavior

Nonlinear Effects of Inflation on Growth: Comment. Econstor (Econstor) (2000)

Richard C.K. BurdekinArthur T. DenzauManfred W. KeilThitithep SitthiyotThomas D. Willett

economicsgrowth theoryeconomic growthmacroeconomicsinflation

The Sources of Unemployment in Canada, 1967-91: Evidence From a Panel of Regions and Demographic Groups. RePEc: Research Papers in Economics (1995)

economic literaturesocial inequalitylabor market impacteconomicsdemographypublic policycanadian studiesa panelunemploymentdemographic groupslabor market participation

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